ModelEM_Performance
Cassidy Peterson
July 2023
Background
This document shows the performance of the model-based EMs from a South Atlantic MSE exercise for black sea bass (BSB), vermilion snapper (VS), and red porgy (RP) using the openMSE software (Blue Matter Science).
First SCA application
These first round of analyses are based on the base-case OM scenario at the end of the historical period compared to the first application of the EM.
VS Model-EM Results
VS OM Recruitment Dynamics
VS EM relative performance
BSB Model-EM Results
BSB OM Recruitment Dynamics
BSB EM relative performance
RP Model-EM Results
RP OM Recruitment Dynamics
RP EM relative performance
Final SCA application
These second round of results are comparing SCA-based EM results to the OM dynamics at the final SCA application of the simulation. Plots show histograms of relative error ( EMest-OMval)/OMval ) of EM-estimated values. The bars are colored in gray-scale based on MP, and the bar borders are colored based on the OM scenario.
VS final EM relative performance
VS final EM relative performance
VS final EM relative performance
VS final EM relative performance
VS final EM relative performance
VS final EM relative performance
VS final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
BSB final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance
RP final EM relative performance